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Past Publications & Presentations

Following are IFPA publications completed before 2009. Some materials are available for download at no charge, some are out of print, and many are available for purchase. To order a publication that is not available for download, click on theAvailable for Purchase link to purchase the publication online through PayPal, or telephone IFPA directly at 617-492-2116 to request a publication. You can also go directly to the publications order page to view and select from the complete list of publications available for purchase (but not for download).

Major Publications

Iran with Nuclear Weapons: Anticipating the Consequences for U.S. Policy
Jacquelyn K. Davis and Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr.
September 2008, 93 pp
Description
We need only ponder the problems posed by an Iran without nuclear weapons to begin to assess the challenges of an Iran in possession of an operational nuclear weapons capability. Considering the issue from the perspective of three different heuristic models of Iran’s proliferation—a defensive Iran, an aggressive Iran, and an unstable Iran—this report assesses the political, strategic, and operational implications of Iran’s attainment of a nuclear weapons capability. It assumes that absent strong, unified, multilateral action to impose a strict sanctions regime, a United Nations Security Council-approved embargo, or other tightly enforced trade and financial restrictions, current policies will not suffice to prevent Iran from becoming a nuclear weapons state.
Nuclear Matters in North Korea: Building a Multilateral Response for Future Stability in Northeast Asia
James L. Schoff, Charles M. Perry, and Jacquelyn K. Davis
July 2008, 186 pp
Description
This 2008 monograph presents the findings of a three-year multilateral research project that explores ways to bridge differences among the parties and to develop a common approach to North Korean nuclearization. It explores the strengths and weaknesses of the six-party process and offers practical solutions to the numerous implementation challenges regarding nuclear dismantlement and verification, and coordinated economic assistance and investment.
Radical Islamist Ideologies and the Long War: Implications for U.S. Strategic Planning and U.S. Central Command's Operations
Jacquelyn K. Davis
January 2007, 73 pp
Description
IFPA completed this report as part of an ongoing study of radical Islam and its implications for the Long War against terrorism. It provides a comprehensive assessment of the ideological underpinnings of radical Islam and how these ideologies seem to be fueling terrorist and insurgent activities, including suicide bombing operations and other asymmetric strategies. Emphasis is placed on the effect of these activities in U.S. Central Command’s (USCENTCOM’s) area of responsibility, especially in Iraq and Afghanistan. This study also includes updated analyses and recommendations derived from a workshop on suicide bombers held in support of USCENTCOM earlier in 2006.
Political Fences & Bad Neighbors: North Korea Policy Making in Japan and Implications for the United States
James L. Schoff
January 2006, 40 pp
Description
Policy coordination with Japan regarding North Korea is always important for U.S. policy makers, given the persistent security challenges posed by the DPRK and the lack of progress on North Korean denuclearization. The situation is further complicated by the oftentimes conflicting interests of other key regional players (such as China and South Korea) regarding priorities and policy approaches vis-à-vis the North. This report explores how Japan's policy toward North Korea has evolved over time, and it describes how domestic politics and bureaucratic organization affect current Japanese policy making in this area. U.S.-Japan policy coordination toward North Korea is discussed, and the implications of all of these factors are examined with policy recommendations to strengthen alliance cooperation.
Security Policy Reforms in East Asia and a Trilateral Crisis Response Planning Opportunity
Second interim report, an IFPA Project Interim Paper
March 2005, 32 pp
Tools for Trilateralism: Improving U.S.-Japan-Korea Cooperation to Manage Complex Contingencies
James L. Schoff
January 2005, 122 pp
Description
One of the more successful innovations in the area of U.S.-Japan and U.S.-South Korea alliance management was the establishment of the Trilateral Coordination and Oversight Group (TCOG) for developing common policies toward North Korea. The three countries can learn from the TCOG and use other diplomatic and military planning tools to improve the way that they prepare for and respond to complex contingencies, such as a large-scale natural disaster, a regional or global epidemic, or the adverse affects of a failing nation-state. This monograph evaluates these tools and identifies ways that they can be better integrated to strengthen the alliance relationships and to enhance regional capacity in the areas of crisis and consequence management. The book includes the first comprehensive study of the TCOG from the perspective of the three nations’ participants, as well as a detailed analysis of how they contributed to the unprecedented multilateral response to the 2004 South Asian tsunami disaster.
Nuclear Proliferation and the Future of U.S. Defense and Deterrence Planning
Jacquelyn K. Davis and Charles M. Perry
January 2005
The Evolution of TCOG as a Diplomatic Tool: First Interim Report
An IFPA Project Interim Paper
November 2004, 32 pp
Central Asia in U.S. Strategy and Operational Planning: Where Do We Go from Here?
Jacquelyn K. Davis and Michael J. Sweeney
January 2004
Description
This monograph, the result of a project completed in 2004, examines the military and operational requirements that could be anticipated to drive U.S. security planning for operations in Central Asia and adjacent regions over the next ten to twenty years.
Building Six-Party Capacity for a WMD-Free Korea
James L. Schoff, Charles M. Perry, and Jacquelyn K. Davis
January 2004, 112 pp
Defense Reform, Modernization, & Military Cooperation in Southeastern Europe: Vol. 3 of the IFPA-Kokkalis Series on Southeast European Policy
Edited by Charles M. Perry and Dimitris Keridis
January 2004, 318 pp
Alliance Diversification & the Future of the U.S.-Korean Security Relationship
Charles M. Perry, Jecquelyn K. Davis, James L. Schoff, and Toshi Yoshihara
January 2004, 224 pp
Crisis Management in Japan & the United States: Creating Opportunities for Cooperation amid Dramatic Change
Edited by James L. Schoff
January 2004, 156 pp
New Approaches to Balkan Studies
Edited by Dimitris Keridis, Ellen Elias-Bursac, and Nicholas Yatromanolakis
September 2003, 375 pp
The U.S.-Japan Alliance: Preparing for Korean Reconciliation & Beyond
Charles M. Perry and Toshi Yoshihara
July 2003, 184 pp
Reluctant Allies and Competitive Partners: U.S.-French Relations at the Breaking Point?
Jacquelyn K. Davis
July 2003, 242 pp
The Strategic Plan for Safeguarding the Commonwealth of Massachusetts against Terrorist and Related Threats
Prepared for the Commonwealth of Massachusetts by
January 2003, 43 pp
Security Issues in the Middle East Quarterly Rreports
Andrew C. Winner
September 2002
The Strategic and Operational Implications of NATO Enlargement in the Baltic Region
July 2002, out of print
Nuclear Stability in South Asia
Andrew Winner and Toshi Yoshinara
January 2002, 122 pp
Greek-Turkish Relations in the Era of Globalization
Edited by Dimitris Keridis and Dimitrios Triantaphyllou
November 2001, out of print
Contending Theories of International Relations
Co-author, fifth edition, New York: Addison Wesley Longman
January 2001
Assessing the Cruise Missile Puzzle: How Great a Defense Challenge?
David R. Tanks
October 2000, 40 pp
National Missile Defense: Policy Issues and Technological Capabilities
David R. Tanks
July 2000
Strategic Dynamics in the Nordic/Baltic Region: Implications for U.S. Policy
Charles M. Perry, Michael J. Sweeney, and Andrew C. Winner
June 2000, 205 pp
NATO and Southeastern Europe: Security Issues for the Early 21st Century
Edited by Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr., and Dimitris Keridis
June 2000, 248 pp
European Security Institutions: Ready for the 21st Century?
IFPA-Fletcher School Project Team
January 2000, 248 pp
The Role of Naval Forces in 21st-Century Operations:
Edited by Richard H. Schultz and Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr.
January 2000, 284 pp
Air/Missile Defense, Counterproliferation and Security Policy Planning
Edited by Jacquelyn K. Davis, Charles M. Perry, and Jamal S. Al-Suwaidi
July 1999, 144 pp
Strategic Paradigms 2025
Jacquelyn K. Davis and Michael J. Sweeney
June 1999, 353 pp
Commercial Space and Military Information Dominance
David R. Tanks
June 1998, 19 pp
Future Challenges to U.S. Space Systems
David R. Tanks
June 1998, 19 pp
CVX: A Smart Carrier for a New Era
Jacquelyn K. Davis
January 1998, 78 pp
Exploring U.S. Missile Defense Requirements in 2010: What Are the Policy and Technology Challenges?
David R. Tanks
July 1997
Security in Southeastern Europe and the U.S.-Greek Relationship
Edited by Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr., and Dimitris Keridis
June 1997, 208 pp
Airpower Synergies in the New Strategic Era
Charles M. Perry, Laurence E. Rothenberg, and Jacquelyn K. Davis, with a foreword by Frank Carlucci
June 1997, 88 pp
War in the Information Age
Co-edited by Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr.
January 1997
The Submarine and U.S. National Security Strategy in the Twenty-first Century
Jacquelyn K. Davis, Michael J. Sweeney, Charles M. Perry
January 1997, 85 pp
Security Strategy and Missile Defense
Edited by Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr.
December 1995
Special Operations Forces: Roles and Missions in the Aftermath of the Cold War
Co-edited by Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr.
July 1995
Long-Range Bombers and the Role of Airpower in the New Century
Charles M. Perry, Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr., and Joseph C. Conway
June 1995, 96 pp
Forward Presence and the U.S. Security Policy: Implications for Force Posture, Service Roles, and Joint Planning
Jacquelyn K. Davis
June 1995, 72 pp
Taiwan in a Transformed World
Edited by David Tawei Lee and Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr
January 1995, 140 pp
Pacific Partners: Canada and the United States
Charles F. Doran, Michael K. Hawes, Brian L. Job, Rank Langdon, and Douglas Ross
January 1994, 129 pp
Transatlantic Relations in the 1990s: The Emergence of New Security Architectures
Hans van de Broek, Pierre-Etienne Champenois, Willem van Eekelen, André Erdös, Lynn Hansen, Gebhardt von Moltke, Jerzy Nowak, Janusz Onyszkiewicz, Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr., and Rob de Wijk
June 1993, 92 pp
Aircraft Carriers and the Role of Naval Forces in the Twenty-First Century
Jacquelyn K. Davis
June 1993, 59 pp
Japan and the United States: Troubled Partners in a Changing World
Mike Mochizuki, James E. Auer, Noboru Yamaguchi, Tsuyoshi Hasegawa, Reizo Utagawa, John Curtis Perry, and Jacquelyn K. Davis
January 1991, 144 pp

Conference/Workshop Reports

Re-Calibrating Security Force Assistance (SFA) as a Critical Component of Waging Irregular Warfare (IW) within the Context of the Global War on Terror (GWOT)
Jacquelyn K. Davis and Charles M. Perry, December 2008
NATO's Relevance and EUCOM's Priorities in Dealing with a Rising Russia
Jacquelyn K. Davis and Charles M. Perry, August 2008
Description
This report summarizes and elaborates upon discussions held at an IFPA workshop by the same name held on July 30, 2008, and organized in support of GEN Bantz Craddock, USA, then SACEUR and commander of USEUCOM. The report discusses emerging Allied concerns over a more assertive Russian security posture, and discusses potential opportunities for USEUCOM-led security cooperation in the greater Black Sea and Caucasus region as a way to enhance stability. Against the backdrop of the Russian-Georgian conflict (which erupted shortly after the workshop was held), the report also offers recommendations for appropriate U.S. and Allied responses.
NATO's Strategic Relevance and U.S. European Command Planning
Jacquelyn K. Davis and Charles M. Perry, March 2008
Description
This report analyzes the perspectives of NATO and SHAPE officials on the proper scope, focus, and timing of future adjustments to the Alliance’s 1999 Strategic Concept to bring it into closer accord with current and emerging strategic trends and priorities. The report also evaluates potential revisions to NATO’s deterrence posture (including with respect to forward-deployed nuclear weapons), and examines emerging requirements for Allied counter-proliferation planning, “out-of-area” missions (such as Afghanistan ), and civil-military coordination to protect Allied territory and critical infrastructure. Based on these assessments, recommendations are made for U.S. European Command (USEUCOM) planning priorities.
Rethinking the War on Terror: Developing a Strategy to Counter Extremist Ideologies
Jacquelyn K. Davis and Charles M. Perry, March 2007, 32 pp
Description
IFPA completed and distributed this summary report on a January 2007 workshop organized in support of U.S. Central Command (USCENTCOM).The focus of the workshop was a discussion of the ideological roots of Islamist extremism as a basis for countering such ideology. In addition, it identified and assessed the elements of a national strategy to defeat radical Islamist threats and addressed measures to promote democratization in the region. Attendees at the workshop ncluded experts and scholars specializing in various aspects of Islamic extremism, as well as USCENTCOM Deputy Commander VADM Dave Nichols, other senior command representatives, and high- ranking U.S. officials.
A New Maritime Strategy for 21st-Century National Security
February 2007
The Pandemic Influenza Challenge: Multilateral Perspectives on Preparedness, Response Planning, and Areas for Cooperation
January 2007, 64 pp
Description
This 2007 report, based in part on the results of a 2006 IFPA-led multilateral workshop held in Tokyo, Japan, reviews current international efforts to mitigate the potentially devastating effect of a pandemic influenza, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region. It also examines the national and military planning efforts of the United States, Japan, and the Republic of Korea in addressing this emerging crisis, and it explores options for improved multilateral cooperation in disaster response planning.
Building Multi-party Capacity for a WMD-free Korean Peninsula
August 2006, 49 pp
Description
Report of a workshop held on February 17, 2006,in Honolulu, Hawaii. Government officials and foreign-policy experts from the United States, China, Russia, Japan, South Korea, and Australia gathered for a one-day workshop to discuss the six-party talks and to explore options for building regional capacity to implement a denuclearization agreement with North Korea, if and when one is concluded.
Bulgaria in Europe: Charting a Path toward Reform and Integration
Edited by Dimitris Keridis, Charles M. Perry, and Monica R.P. d'Assuncao Carlos, April 2006, 151 pp
Description
This volume explores Bulgaria’s progress in the realms of economic and political reform, as well as its overall strategic and foreign policy priorities, within the context of its desires to contribute as a new NATO member, to join the European Union, and to play a leading role within and beyond Southeast Europe. The point of departure was the Bulgaria in Europe conference, organized by the Kokkalis Program on Southeast and East-Central Europe at Harvard University's John F. Kennedy School of Government and by the Kokkalis Foundation in Athens, Greece, on July 15, 2002, in Sophia, Bulgaria. Contributors include Bulgaria’s former president, its deputy prime minister, its deputy foreign minister, and distinguished experts from Europe and the United States.
Strengthening Forces for Democracy in the Middle East: Lessons from the Past & Strategies for the Future
March 2006, 21 pp
Description
This report is based on a workshop of the same title convened by the Institute on February 9, 2006, in Washington, D.C., with the generous support of the Lynde and Harry Bradley Foundation. It assesses the extent to which Cold War lessons in the struggle against Communism have relevance to the war against radical Salafist ideologies and to efforts to establish democracies in the wider Muslim world. The report examines the prospects for democracy in the area spanning North Africa, the Middle East, the Caucasus, and Central Asia. Both the workshop and the report contributed to IFPA's ongoing research focused on post-conflict reconstruction and stability operations in Iraq and Afghanistan and, at the same time, to efforts to inform and help shape U.S. government democratization efforts and public diplomacy strategies.
Building Multi-Party Capacity for a WMD-Free Korean Peninsula
June 2005, 50 pp
Implementing the New Triad: Nuclear and Non-Nuclear Forces in 21st-Century Deterrence
January 2005, 122 pp
The Mexican-U.S. Partnership: Enhancing Our Common Security
January 2005, 35 pp
The Canada-U.S. Partnership: Enhancing Our Common Security
January 2005, 35 pp
Trilateral Tools for Managing Complex Contingencies: U.S.-Japan-Korea Cooperation in Disaster Relief & Stabilization/Reconstruction Missions
January 2005, 5 pp
Planning for and Responding to Threats to the U.S. Homeland
October 2004, 132 pp
Coordinating Regional Strategies for a WMD-Free Korea: A Multilateral Dialogue Report
Guillermo Pinczuk and James Schoff, May 2004, 32 pp
Nuclear Energy and Science for the 21st Century: Atoms for Peace Plus 50
January 2004, 74 pp
Security Planning and Military Transformation after Iraqi Freedom
December 2003
WMD Challenges on the Korean Peninsula and New Approaches: A Trilateral Dialogue Report
July 2003
Missile Defense and Counterproliferation on the Korean Peninsula: Exploring U.S.-ROK Requirements and Options
January 2003, 34 pp
Homeland Security and Special Operations: Sorting Out Procedures, Capabilities, and Operational Issues SOF and Homeland Security Report
March 2002, 16 pp
Northeast Asian Security after Korean Reconciliation or Reunification: Preparing the U.S.-Japan Alliance
February 2002
National Security for a New Era: Focusing National Power
November 2001, 105 pp
Expeditionary Solutions for a Gordian World
March 2001
National Strategies and Capabilities for a Changing World
January 2001, 128 pp
Final Report on Strategic Responsiveness: Early and Continuous Joint Effectiveness-Across the Spectrum
April 2000
United States as a 21st Century Aerospace Power
December 1999, 35 pp
The Way Ahead for Transatlantic Cooperation: Exploiting Collective Advantages
January 1999, 33 pp, out of print
Allied-Central European Workshop on Post-Cold War Concepts of Deterrence
January 1996, 22 pp, out of print
Taiwan in a Changing Global Setting
July 1994, 75 pp
Allied Planning for Peacekeeping and Conflict Management: Tailoring Military Means to Political Ends
June 1994, 100 pp
Proliferation, Theater Missile Defense, and U.S. Security
January 1994, 44 pp, out of print
The Korean-U.S. Relationship in an Era of Change: Summary of a Transpacific Dialogue
July 1993, 38 pp
Preventing Instability in Post-Cold War Europe: The Institutional Responses of NATO, the WEU, the EC, the CSCE, and the UN
July 1992, 58 pp
Security Dynamics on the Korean Peninsula: Implications for Regional Stability and Defense Planning
June 1992
Naval Arms Control and Pacific Security in the 1990s
January 1992, 25 pp
Change in Europe and the Emergence of New Strategic Priorities: Restructuring Security Arrangements for the 1990s
December 1991, 45 pp

Articles & Presentations

U.S. National Defense Strategy & Security of Japan: U.S. Military Transformation and Beyond
Speech by James L. Schoff, October 29, 2008, Tokyo, Japan
The Shoot-Down of the Failing NRO Satellite: Implications for ICBM Missile Defense
Speech by Dr. Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr.
Capitol Hill Forum on Missile Defense: Implications of the February 2008 Satellite Intercept, Washington, D.C., October 9, 2008
North Korea Goes Nuclear, Again
James L. Schoff
Far Eastern Economic Review, September 2008
Setting a "Good Example" in Beijing
James L. Schoff
Far Eastern Economic Review, August 2008
First Things First in the Six-Party Talks: Verify and Implement
Op-ed on North Korean denuclearization by James L. Schoff
PacNet #37, July 9, 2008
Crisis Management: Looking Back and Looking Ahead
Keynote address by Dr. Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr.
Athena 08, sponsored by Defense Analysis Institute of the Hellenic Ministry of National Defence, at the Athena 08 Crisis Management International Conference, Athens, Greece, July 2, 2008.
The Need for Trilateral Cooperation
By James L. Schoff
Far Eastern Economic Review, July 2008
Nuclear Matters in North Korea: U.S. Strategy and the Six-Party Talks
Speech by James L. Schoff
Indianapolis World Affairs Council, Indianapolis, Indiana, May 20, 2008.
Collaboration with NATO on Missile Defense
Speech by Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr.,
Conference on Missile Defence after the Bucharest NATO Summit: European and American Perspectives, Prague, the Czech Republic, May 5, 2008
Future Prospects for U.S.-Japan-ROK Coordination
Speech by James L. Schoff
Pacific Forum CSIS conference, Changing Notions of National Identity and Implications for U.S.-Japan-ROK Relations, in Honolulu, Hawaii, May 5, 2008.
Reform Locally, Act Globally? Crisis Management Trends in Korea
James L. Schoff and Choi Hyun-jin
KEI's Academic Paper Series, April 2008
Is the Party Over?
James L. Schoff
Far Eastern Economic Review, April 2008
Thinking Globally in Seoul
James L. Schoff
Far Eastern Economic Review, March 2008
A Return to 'Checkbook Diplomacy'?
James L. Schoff
Far Eastern Economic Review, February 2008
Hedging and the U.S.-Japan Alliance
Speech by James L. Schoff
U.S.-Japan Strategic Dialogue, hosted by MIT at the Endicott House, Dedham, Massachusetts, February 20, 2008.
How to Keep the Six-Party Talks from Failing
By James L. Schoff
Far Eastern Economic Review, January 2008
Reforming Military Support for Foreign Disaster Relief and Humanitarian Assistance
Charles M. Perry and Marina Travayiakis
Feature Article in Liaison, Journal of Civil-Military Humanitarian Relief Collaboration, issue 1, 2008
Enabling Disablement: Some Assembly Required
Op-ed by James L. Schoff
PacNet #40a, October 9, 2007
Mr. Fukuda's Abduction Problem
James L. Schoff
Far Eastern Economic Review, October 2007
Space and Missile Defense
Speech by Dr. Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr.
To the Federalist Society and held at the National Press Club, Washington, D.C., June 20, 2007
Weapons in Space
Speech by Dr. Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr.
To the Boston Council on Foreign Relations, June 18, 2007
Make the Working Groups Work
James L. Schoff
PacNet, no. 10, February 27, 2007
Transformation of the U.S.-Japan Alliance
James L. Schoff
The Fletcher Forum of World Affairs 31, no. 1(Winter 2007)
Abduction Diplomacy and the Six-Party Talks
James L. Schoff
Pacific Forum CSIS, April 25, 2006
Japan-North Korea Relations from an American Perspective
Speech by James L. Schoff
16th Diplomatic Roundtable, December 14, 2005, sponsored by the Japan Forum on International Relations (JFIR) / the Global Forum of Japan / the Council on East Asian Community (in Tokyo)
The Current State of U.S.-Japan Strategic Dialogue: A Strategic Pause, or an Opportunity Slipping Away?
James L. Schoff
Sekai Shuho, October 25, 2005
The 108th Congress: Asia Pacific Policy Outlook
James L. Schoff
National Bureau of Asian Research Briefing Paper, no. 11, January 2003